主管：中华人民共和国司法部
主办：司法鉴定科学研究院
ISSN 1671-2072  CN 31-1863/N
中国司法鉴定

中国司法鉴定 ›› 2023 ›› Issue (6): 31-39.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1671-2072.2023.06.005

• 鉴定综述 • 上一篇    下一篇

笔迹量化鉴定与统计学分析的研究综述

李双双1，2，3，杨 旭2，陈晓红2   

  1. 1.华东政法大学 刑事法学院，上海 200042； 2.司法鉴定科学研究院 上海市司法鉴定专业技术服务平台 司法部司法鉴定重点实验室，上海 200063； 3.南京警察学院 刑事科学技术学院，江苏 南京 210023
  • 收稿日期:2023-03-15 出版日期:2023-11-15 发布日期:2023-11-16
  • 作者简介:李双双（1991—），女，讲师，博士研究生，主要从事物证技术司法鉴定研究。E-mail: 3277737446@qq.com
  • 基金资助:
    上海市领军人才计划（202079）；国家自然科学基金（61605132，U1736102）；上海市司法鉴定专业技术服务平台资助项目。

Review of Quantitative and Statistical Analysis of Handwriting Identification

LI Shuangshuang1,2,3, YANG Xu2, CHEN Xiaohong2   

  1. 1. Criminal Justice College, East China University of Political Science and Law, Shanghai 200042, China; 2. Shanghai Forensic Service Platform, Key Laboratory of Forensic Science, Ministry of Justice, Academy of Forensic Science, Shanghai 200063, China; 3. School of Forensic Science and Technology, Nanjing Police University, Nanjing 210023, China
  • Received:2023-03-15 Published:2023-11-15 Online:2023-11-16

PDF

摘要： 笔迹鉴定主要依靠专家的经验判断，缺乏科学有效的量化测量和分析手段，是当前制约学科发展的瓶颈。在客观的、量化的技术手段普遍应用于法庭科学背景下，笔迹鉴定需要走量化和统计分析的道路。通过梳理近些年笔迹特征量化的方法和笔迹特征统计学分析的方法，讨论这些研究对笔迹量化鉴定的贡献和局限性，并对基于似然比模型的笔迹证据价值评估的研究进行综述，以期增强笔迹鉴定中比较分析与评估的科学基础。同时，还探讨了笔迹量化鉴定和统计学分析的发展趋势。

关键词: 司法鉴定, 笔迹验证, 似然比, 证据价值评估

Abstract: Forensic handwriting identification mainly relies on the experience of experts. The lack of scientific and effective quantitative measurements and analysis methods is the bottleneck restricting the development of the discipline. In the context of objective and quantitative technical means widely used in forensic science, handwriting identification needs to take the road of quantitative and statistical analysis. This paper reviewed the methods of handwriting feature quantification and related statistical analysis in recent years, and discussed the contributions and limitations of these studies. The researches on the value evaluation of handwriting evidence based on likelihood ratio model were reviewed in order to enhance the scientific basis of comparative analysis and evaluation in handwriting identification. Finally, the development trend of handwriting quantitative identification and statistical analysis was discussed.

Key words: forensic appraisal, handwriting identification, likelihood ratio, evaluation of evidence value

中图分类号: